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Looking ahead, firms are more optimistic with the index for future business conditions rising to 26.3 from 19.9, which would be the highest level in over a year. Prices paid saw a slight acceleration in September to 25.8 from 25.2 while employment slipped marginally deeper into contractionary territory at -2.7 from the prior -1.4. The delivery times index ticked up to 2.1, suggesting little change in delivery times. Similarly, the inventories index remained in contraction territory at -6.2, but not as deep as the prior 9.7 in August. The unfilled orders index remained below zero at -5.2, a sign that unfilled orders continued to decline. Looking into the release, New Orders returned to expansionary territory of 5.1 from the prior -19.9, while the shipments index rose 25 points to 12.4, showing an increase in both orders and shipments. However, it is worth noting the NY Fed headline is very volatile. NY FED: The NY Fed Manufacturing survey rose to 1.9, back to expansionary territory from the prior -19 and beating the estimate of -10, and was even above the most optimistic analyst forecast of 0.00.

Meanwhile, the UAW union automaker strike has begun with around 11k workers touted to have walked out in the US, the UAW president said later on Friday that the union would be back at the bargaining table on Saturday, although there remains a healthy amount of scepticism amongst commentators on just how quickly a resolution will be found. Oil prices were slightly firmer in choppy trade, confirming their third consecutive W/W gain, amid the strong China and US data, as well as some supply updates. Treasuries were sold, although most of the downside came in the European morning, with desks attributing some hawkish ECB source reports in the FT to the EGB-led weakness.

While on the inflation front, a strong jump in the August US import/export prices was offset by downward revisions and the fall in the Michigan survey's consumer inflation expectation gauges. The stock selling came despite the largely strong data, with the hot Chinese activity data followed by the jump in the NY Fed's manufacturing survey and strong US industrial production, although the Uni of Michigan sentiment survey did disappoint expectations. The stock selling built in the pre-market and accelerated after the cash open, hitting lows in the NY afternoon. Stocks were sold through the session on Friday with NDX weakest amid a chunky 'Quad Witching' options expiry in the absence of obvious news-driven catalysts.

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